Sunday, June 19, 2016

Florida State League All-Star Game




I was super excited to attend this ballgame and scout the next gen of fantasy baseball stars! But where a game of skill and chance featuring the best of the best had been scheduled, a snoozefest broke out instead. To be fair, if you're into pitching you were in heaven, because pitchers dominated, as they normally do in the FSL.


So.... the only fireworks to be seen this All-Star Game came after the game.


And as luck would have it, the pitching prospect I was most interested in seeing, Brent Honeywell (Rays) warmed up beforehand and did not pitch in the game. 

If you were looking for hitting, it was only to be found at the All-Star Home Run DerbyClearwater Threshers 3B Mitch Walding smacked six dingers, two of which left the building. Note: Lakeland's Christin Stewart (Tigers) leads the league with 16 HR but declined to participate. Go figure. 

Check out the Box Score. If you're a big fan of zeros, you'll have a ball with it!

Photos are mine. (c)2016



Monday, February 15, 2016

Fresh Meat / Dead Meat 2016: Closers & Relievers Edition: Chapman, Kimbrel, and K-Rod Oh My!


Attention American League shoppers! 

There's a fresh meat bonanza in the bullpen! 

A great variety of cuts! No coupons required! 

FRESH MEAT:

15.7 K/9?! ARE YOU KIDDING ME RIGHT NOW?!
RP Aroldis Chapman. Well, this worked out for us AL-onliers, didn't it? A trade to the Dodgers was scuttled after Chapman was involved in a domestic violence incident, but Cincinnati was able to regroup and ship him to the Yankees instead. Sure, he’ll be suspended for the first month or so. And I don't care. Look, just because he throws 100+ MPH doesn't make him great. A 15.7 K/9 ratio. THAT makes him great. Yep, he's one lean slice of meat! Chapman earned $22 last year and immediately slots in as the top closer in the Junior Circuit. (As a Red Sox fan, I do *not* approve this message.)

13.2 K/9 ISN'T TOO BAD EITHER!
Speaking of my hometown nine, this time last year, the Sox brought in two sluggers from the NL -- Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval. Well, we all know how that turned out. Hanley was chopped liver in left field, and Panda turned out to be all fat. They’re hoping for much better from this year's imported meat, RP Craig Kimbrel. New Red Sox GM Dave Drombrowski wasted no time in acquiring his new closer from the Padres for four promising but lower-level prospects. Kimbrel garnered 39 saves in 43 chances for a disappointing Padres team, earning $19. Koji Uehara is still there, and Carson Smith, too, giving the Sox a trifecta to rival New York's Chapman - Miller - Betances triumvirate. Buy with confidence.

RP Francisco Rodriguez. The Tigers acquired K-Rod from the Milwaukee Brewers (American League team, ex-officio status), so he's another nice piece of fresh meat. K-Rod had a nifty 2.21 ERA for the Brewers in 2015, 38 saves in 40 chances, and earned $17 in the NL. Believe it or not, he's only 34 years young. 

RP Ken Giles. Giles was traded by the rebuilding Phillies to the fully rebuilt Astros (am I the only one who can't get used to Houston being an AL team?) in a deal involving starting pitchers Vince Velasquez and Brett Oberholtzer. Since the Astros sent two major leaguers and a promising prospect in exchange for Giles, he will almost certainly step right into the closer's role. Last year, he blew just two saves after taking over as the Phillies' closer in late July, striking out 87 batters in 70 innings. and Now he'll get to play on a team that will have the lead more often (it's safe to say) than Philadelphia. He figures to slot in near the top of the second cut of closers in AL fantasy drafts. Quietly earned $15 last year in the NL. A nice cut of quality meat that could be on sale in your auction. 

RPs Steve Cishek & Joaquin Benoit. The Mariners signed Cishek (of Falmouth, Mass, CAPE COD REPRESENT!) away from the Cardinals, who had rented him late last year, while also acquiring Benoit from the San Diego Padres for a pair of minor league prospects. The reason is clear: After having the best bullpen in baseball in 2014, they blew 24 saves in 2015. (Let's pause and let that sink in for a minute. Yikes!) Cishek, though, had some issues himself, namely with his control and getting lefties out. Meanwhile Benoit had a 2.34 ERA in 67 appearances was just brutal on right-handed hitters with a .144 batting average against -- the lowest of any NL pitcher who faced 100+ batters. That said, the submarining Cishek could be shaky in the closer role. With peripheral stats still very solid despite his advanced age of 38, and importantly, being no stranger to AL lineups, Benoit could be a saves-speculative buck or 3 at auction.  

RP Sam Dyson. In return for prospects, the Rangers landed a mid-to-high 90s fastballer in Dyson, giving the Rangers another live arm out of the bullpen. Dyson earned $7 in the NL and should be an excellent K and WHIP guy for half that price. (If you're into that sort of thing, and I know you are.) (Wink-wink-nudge-nudge-know-wot-I-mean?)  

RP Drew Storen. Despite having a 20-year-old flamethrower like Roberto Osuna to close out games last year, Toronto (nonsensically) acquired the former Nats closer in exchange for OF Ben Revere. Storen notched 29 saves with a pedestrian 3.44 ERA, which earned him $9 in the NL. He makes not a bad contrarian/consolation prize if everybody else overpays for the top tier closers coming off the board. However, Osuna was brilliant in that role for Toronto last year, so if Storen struggles, he may not have the job to himself for long. (BTW, check this hilarious commentary on Storen's Netflix and Chill story.

RP John Axford. The Oakland Athletics inked a two-year, $10 million deal with Axford. (This is 100% pure insanity. Has Billy Beane lost his damn mind? First he trades the MVP away, now this?) Axford went 4-5 with a 4.20 ERA and somehow garnered 25 saves in 60 appearances with the Rockies in 2015. This is fresh meat that already stinks. Avoid. 

Dead Meat: 

Join me in bidding adieu to Adam Warren, Pedro Strop, Andrew Bailey, Wil Smith, and Jake McGee. Of these, I'll miss McGee, who I owned seemingly every year for $1 or $3. McGee is that rare left-handed power arm, but lefty closers never seem to get any respect. (Hell, I'm still upset the Red Sox didn't stick with Tom Burgmeier in 1981!

In summary, we AL-onliers made out like bandits this year. In a standard 12-team league, there should be plenty of high-leverage relievers for everyone at the table. Bon appetite! 

Monday, February 1, 2016

Fresh Meat/Dead Meat 2016: Jordan Zimmerman & Jeff Samardzija

Welcome to installment #1 of Fresh Meat/Dead Meat, my yearly overview of the new additions to the AL-only pool, as well as those players who are dead to me.










Fresh Meat: SP Jordan Zimmermann

Welcome Aboard!
The Detroit Tigers signed the 29-year-old free agent to a big deal over the winter, so he's fresh meat, and a decent cut at that. But he posted a disappointing 13-10 record i, with a mediocre 3.66 ERA for the Washington Nationals in his contract year. The previous year, he was a lot fresher: 14-5 with a 2.66 ERA. Now we're cookin, right? He's still got excellent control -- 164 Ks to only 39 walks last season -- so he'll be an asset in the WHIP category. Having earned $13 in NL-only last year, he figures to be something of a risk facing the heavier-hitting AL lineups. Don't overpay like the Tigers did and you'll be happier.











Dead Meat: SP Jeff Samardzija 

Good Riddance! 
Good riddance. I bought him at auction for $30* last year thinking he was "cheap ace." Whoops! He rewarded me by leading the league in earned runs allowed. And by "league" I mean the whole league. Like, the AL and that other one. Ouch. 

**Includes keeper league inflation.

Monday, April 6, 2015

Introducing the 2015 Mighty Skwirls

C Zunino 5*
C Joseph         1
2015 Mighty Skwirls
An #ALonly 5x5 roto team
1B Miggy         44
2B B Dozier 1*
SS Xander 5*
3B B Lawrie  23
CI Moustakas  18
MI D Pedrioa  27
OF S Fuld  7
OF Rusney  19
OF A Jackson 25
OF C Rasmus  2*
OF B Holt  3*
UT B Miller 9

SP Samardja  30
SP Sanchez  27
SP Parker  1
SP Buehrle 3*
RP Barnes 1
RP Mujica 3
RP Koji  1*
RP McGee 3*
RP Cook  1*

Farm: Henry Owens*
Farm: Joey Gallo (#1 overall pick.) 

*Keepers.

Overall, I feel the auction went well. I had a software snafu so I couldn't track the other team rosters and money remaining, but I was able to take care of business for my own team with a simple Google spreadsheet. 

I went in with the hammer, i.e., most available cash to spend after keepers, but that didn't last long. Bidding on Miggy stalled at $43, so I was able to re-sign Miggy for $44, a $3 discount from last year. 

Basically, otherwise, I went for offensive upside. This year I decided the post-hype sleeper was where the value is, and I spent the rest of my money on Lawrie, Moustakas, and Miller. If 2 of those guys finally figure it out, I'll be in good shape. 

Letting Kinsler go, I was able to get Pedroia at a discount from last year's salary. Finally healthy for the first time in 2 years, I can see him doubling his HR output this year. #lasershow 

Pitching-wise, simply put, there wasn't much of it available. King Felix went for $44 and Sale $41. I had Samardja at $38 last year, but I threw him back and got him for only $30! I feel like this is a bargain price for 200 strikeouts. Anibal Sanchez similarly should give top-of-the-rotation type numbers for only $27. 

Guys like Verlander, Buchholz, Weaver, Wilson, etc. went for more than I had budgeted, so I decided to zag and spend all my money on hitting. I didn't expect to get Rusney Castillo, but he was "up" at the time of the auction, so I went the extra buck there, locking up a very intriguing prospect for 3 years at a decent salary.  And instead of a middling pitcher, I took Brad Miller near the end. 

With my few remaining dollars, I stole Mujica for $3 (a potential closer for 3!) and took 97MPH Matt Barnes for $1. So I have the Red Sox current closer, incumbent DL'd closer, and perhaps closer of the future for $5, total! 

Jerrod Parker or AJ Griffin? I flipped a coin and went Parker.  Which comes back sooner and does better? We shall see!  Let the games begin!  


Sunday, March 29, 2015

AL-Only: Bounceback, Comeback, Hollaback Boys?

Is it me, or does half the American League seem primed for a bounceback season? There sure were a lot of guys who just didn't perform to expectations last season.

The M*A*S*H Unit 
  • Prince Fielder 
  • Shin-Soo Choo
  • Derek Holland (see a theme here? Poor Texas!) 
  • Matt Wieters 
  • And _________?
The Disappointments 
  • Allen Craig
  • Chris Davis
  • Manny Machado
  • Justin Masterson
  • Kendrys Morales
  • Justin Verlander 
  • Eric Hosmer 
  • And _________?
The Washed-Ups?
  • CC Sabathia
  • Stephen Drew 
  • A-Rod (there's a theme here, too! Heh-heh.)
  • And ________?
Comment below or Tweet me back and LMK who else you think fits above.

One intriguing bounceback possibility is Justin Verlander. PECOTA is predicting a nice comeback for the former Cy Young winner, but everybody else seems to be fixated on his declining velocity, as if it's the smoking gun for his impending demise. And it very well might be. But can't elite power pitchers evolve? When their fastballs aren't so fast, don't they learn to "spot" the 92MPH? You hear it all the time. He was a thrower, now he's a pitcher.

OK, so you point out Verlander had an ugly 1.40 WHIP last season.
PECOTA says: How's 1.20 in 2015 grab you? 
But a crappy 4.54 ERA in 2014. Ugh.
How's 3.30 sound? Now how much would you pay? But wait, there's more! 
And only 159 Ks? Disappointed!
Try 203! Order today!

Throw in the fact that he just wasn't healthy last year -- one might say that this was his core issue -- (#sorry) (#notsorry) and his case for a comeback becomes all the more compelling. I'd also add, he and Kate have to be getting to that point where he's... getting more rest... at night? Right? I mean, right? Seriously? (#justjealous) I'm guessing this is when they met:



Anyway, he went for $37 last year in my AL-only keeper league, making him one of the top 3 pitcher investments. That didn't work out for the unlucky bidder. (C'est moi.) (Although Lester at $23 did. Until, Cubs.) So obviously, I declined to keep him in 2015 and tossed him back into the pool. Now, his average auction price this spring is only $7 -- a full 18 AL pitchers below the average $28 for King Felix. With my inflation rate, I expect he'll go for mid-high teens and deliver good value at that price.

Who do you like as AL Bounceback Player of the Year?


Sunday, March 31, 2013

Introducing the 2013 Mighty Skwirls

This is a Mighty Skwirl
C Mauer, Joe          $29 LT13
C Iannetta, Chris    $10 Op15

1B Parmelee, Chris          $5 Op 14
2B Carroll, Jamey             $1 Op15
3B Middlebrooks, Will      $10 Op14
SS Drew, Stephen            $16 Op15

CI Reynolds, Mark    $18 Op15
MI Escobar, Yunel     $11 Op15

OF Bourjos, Peter         $15 Op15
OF Bradley, Jackie        $7 Op15
OF De Aza, Alejandro  $1 Op13
OF Dirks, Andy           $6 Op14
OF Jackson, Austin     $22 Op14
OF Martin, Leonys      $1 Op14

SP  Buchholz, Clay      $19 Op15
RP  Burton, Jared        $7 Op15
SP  Diamond, Scott     $7 Op14
RP Dotel, Octavio        $1 Op15
SP Johnson, Josh         $28 Op15
RP McGee, Jake          $2 Op14
SP Peavy, Jake           $12 Op14
RP Veras, Jose           $7 Op15
SP Wilson, C.J.           $25 Op15

On the Farm:
Bogaerts, Xander - BOS
Webster, Allen - BOS
Ynoa, Michael - OAK

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Weekly FAAB: Stephen Drew

WAIVER CLAIMS:
Tillman- Chaos
Chavez - Mt.Baker, Chaos
Izturis- Skwirls, Usuals
Doolittle- Usuals
-------------------------------------------
BIDS:
Johnson- Chaos:1
McLouth- Deal:3
Gomez- Usuals:10, Chaos:3
Drew- Liefers:13, Deal:10, Usuals:6,Skwirls:5
------------------------------------------
FAAB remaining: China:66, Liefers:38, Relay:41, Chaos:38, Owls:29, Deal:68, Highlanders:39, Skwirls:8, Troops:71, Mt.Baker:8, Big Sausage:1, Usuals:7

The inter-league trading continues at a blistering pace! Now J.D.'s little brother comes to the AL for the first time, going to the A's.  Getting a starting SS with this kind of talent and pedigree, this late in the season, for only $13 is a pretty good deal. I'd expect Liefers to keep him going forward in 2013. Still, I wouldn't expect much from him statistically this last month.  He's coming off an injury and hasn't exactly been lighting it up so far; worse, Oakland's ridiculous ballpark isn't conducive to breaking him out.