Monday, June 25, 2012

Weekly FAAB : Roy Oswalt

WAIVER CLAIMS:
Danks- Troops, Highlanders
Cecil- Relay, Usuals, Mt.Baker, Deal N/D
--------------------------------------------
BIDS:
Oswalt- Mt.Baker:24, Skwirls:21, BSP:18, Deal:15, Relay:11, Owls:7
Archer- Highlanders:9, Relay:7, Deal N/D:5, BSP:5, Skwirls:3, Usuals:3
Norris- Highlanders:11, Usuals:9, Troops:10, Owls:6
F.Morales- Skwirls:5, Deal N/D:4, BSP:2
Axelrod- Deal N/D:6
Griffin- Relay:7, Owls:5, Usuals:3, Chaos:1
--------------------------------------------
FAAB remaining: China:81, Liefers:91, Relay:52, Chaos:36, Owls:65, Deal:83, Highlanders:46, Skwirls:34, Troops:75, Mt.Baker:10, Big Sausage:27, Usuals:69

FINALLY we got to bid on Roy Oswalt.  It seemed like he was coming forever but might never actually arrive, like this Monty Python scene.  He finally arrived with a flourish, getting a W and tallying 6 strikeouts.  I badly need both of those stats, but my FAAB account is like my bank accounts in real life, i.e., not exactly flush.  Nevertheless, I made a fairly aggressive bid of $21 and just missed. 

My back-up plans were in place, though.  Chris Archer, yet another live arm from the Rays system, has an impressive K rate and I probably should've bid higher on him, but I liked Franklin Morales a bit more.  Rookie pitchers are terribly unpredictable, and I'm playing for the money this year.

Losing out on Oswalt does leave some FAAB in the bank for later, and Morales is racking up the K's himself at a much cheaper price.  The erstwhile set-up man whiffed 8 for his first victory as a starter since 2009, then followed it up with 9 more K's in only 5 innings.  The Boston Globe reports: "Since 1985, the only other Red Sox pitchers to strike out at least eight batters in their first two starts of a season are Roger Clemens (1988) and Pedro Martinez (1998-2000)." 

My other thought is trading for Oswalt, as the 2nd-to-last team in the league had the winning bid. And as I type this, an e-mail came in from him inquiring about my interest. :-) 

Monday, June 18, 2012

Weekly FAAB: Ryan Kalish

WAIVER CLAIMS:
Walden- Owls
Damon- Mt.baker
--------------------------------------------
BIDS:
Pearce- Deal:6, Liefers:5
Grimm- Usuals:8, Chaos:2
Stewart- Troops:1
Snyder-Chaos:1
L.Mendoza-BSP:2, Mt.Baker:1
Kalish- Skwirls:10,Liefers:5, Deal:2
Furbush- Chaos:1
L.Martin- China:6
N.Jones- China:1
--------------------------------------------
FAAB remaining: China:75, Liefers:91, Relay:59, Chaos:36, Owls:65, Deal:89, Highlanders:66, Skwirls:39, Troops:75, Mt.Baker:34, Big Sausage:38, Usuals:69

Very excited this morning to learn I have landed Red Sox OF Ryan Kalish with a bid of $10.  I had targeted him at the auction, but with him on the DL and in the minors, league rules prevented me from dropping the $1 end-of-auction bid.  With his call-up yesterday, I thought long and hard on this FAAB bid -- there's little science or math in it, it's mostly intuition as to what bid "feels right" -- and settled on $10 because it's aggressive enough to land him but low enough to make him a keeper.  Note: He FAAB'd for $22 in 2010 here and Mike Gianella fairly gushed about his potential then.

While he can help my depleted OF now, I think he is keeper material for 2013.  He's actually kind of a stealth stud prospect, with good power (think Trot Nixon) and sneaky speed that he's not afraid to use. He had 10 SB in 2010 with Boston, plus 24 earlier in the minors!  Kalish says he's healthy and he's torn up the minors on his brief rehab assignments.  He made his debut last night with a clutch RBI single that won the game against the Cubs. 

With the return of Ellsbury and Crawford still floating off in the foggy distance, Kalish will get plenty of at-bats.  Even when Cody Ross comes back (perhaps this week?) it will be an ideal platoon situation.  Podsednik (.373 and 5 SB for my $5 so far) has apparently tweaked his groin, so if he goes on the shelf that opens up CF. 

Basically, a potential 20/20 guy for $10.  Not bad!

Monday, June 11, 2012

Roster Review

THE RALLY SKWIRLS

Player TMPosSalCon
Kelly ShoppachBOSC1Op14
Joe MauerMINC29LT13
Miguel CabreraDET1B47Op13
Orlando HudsonCWS2B5Op14
Asdrubal CabreraCLESS23Op13
Will MiddlebrooksBOS3B10Op14
Chris ParmeleeMIN1B/3B5Op14
Kelly JohnsonTOR2B/SS16Op13
Alejandro De AzaCWSOF1Op13
Collin CowgillOAKOF2Op14
Austin JacksonDETOF22Op14
Kole CalhounANAOF5Op14
Scott PodsednikBOSOF5Op14
David OrtizBOSUTIL14FA
Jake McGeeTB RP2Op14
Cory WadeNYYRP1Op14
Jonathan BroxtonKC RP8Op14
Jon LesterBOSSP39Op14
Clay BuchholzBOSSP13FA
Scott DiamondMINSP7Op14
Matt ThorntonCWSRP8FA
Scott DownsANARP1Op14
Jake PeavyCWSSP12Op14
Jacoby EllsburyBOSRESER (OF)20FA
Cody RossBOSRESER (OF)12Op14
Andy DirksDETRESER (OF)6Op14
Alexi OgandoTEXRESER (RP)2Op13
Matt LindstromBALRESER (RP)1Op14
Dustin McGowanTORRESER (SP)1Op14
Brett CecilTORRESER (SP)5Op14
Jose IglesiasBOSFARM (SS)0
Xander BogaertsBOSFARM (SS)0
Anthony RanaudoBOSFARM (SP)0
Michael YnoaOAKFARM (SP)0

Weekly FAAB Report: Dice-K

Dice-K is back! FAAB him or wait for Oswalt?
AL-ONLY BIDS (12 Teams; 5x5 Roto)

Matsuzaka- Highlanders:16, BSP:12, Mt.Baker:12, Skwirls:5

I made a modest bid here, hoping maybe the league would either be napping or be afraid of Dice-K's notorious WHIP-killing skills.  I needed the Ks -- he had 8 in only 5 innings in his debut -- but with this tepid bid, I guess I decided I didn't need them that badly.  Side note: He was also on my target list at the end of the auction, but then when the time came, I saw Dustin McGowan sitting there and went that way instead with my $1. I was thinking McGowan would be back sooner than Dice-K. Whoops.

Danks- Mt.Baker:3

Moss- Mt.Baker:4

Brilliantly touted as a prospect by Theo Epstein when he clearly was not, then used as a chip to get Jay Bay from Pittsburgh, I had forgotten all about this guy.  Meanwhile, it is now apparent that 1B for the A's is like some kind of black hole Bermuda Triangle place that attracts (and destroys) marginal Quad-A type hitters.

Mazzaro-Troops:1

I used to think this guy had real potential. I've since been disavowed of this opinion. 

Doolittle- Usuals:2

Blackley- Usuals:2

Wade-Skwirls:1

OK, the thing about Wade is I've been watching him on the waiver wire all year, and he's been good, very good in fact. He's listed 2nd on the ESPN closer chart behind Soriano, and 3rd on the Fangraphs.  I like to speculate on these guys (it's how I ended up with 6 saves from Scott Downs for $1) and with injuries plaguing the post-Mariano bullpen, there's a slim chance he could snag a save or two. Either way, he's K'ing better than a guy an inning (29 in 27) and his WHIP is 0.96, so he shouldn't hurt me while Ogando is on the DL.*

*Yes, this is another reason we like the DH rule! 

Standings thru Sun. Jun. 10


Rank Team Pts
  1 CHAOS 110.5
  2 HIGHLANDR 96.0
  3 MAJLIEFRS 86.0
  4 SKWIRLS 75.0
  5 USUALS 74.0
  6 DEAL/ND 68.0
  7 BIGSGPIZZ 59.0
  8 OWLS 56.0
  9 RELAY 47.0
  10 TROOPS 38.5
  11 MT BAKER 36.5
  12 CHINA 33.5

Monday, June 4, 2012

Weekly FAAB Report: Matsui

Moves 6/4
WAIVER CLAIMS:
Morel - BSP
---------------------------------------------
BIDS:
Matsui- Mt.Baker:21, Owls:7, Deal N/D:6, BSP:3, Chaos:1
Pryor- Usuals:8, Mt.Baker:4, BSP:2
Villareal- Usuals:3
Richards- Mt.Baker:3, BSP:3 (Mt.Baker lower in standings)
LaPorta- BSP:9, Owls:6, Deal N/D:6
Worth- Mt.Baker:2
Chavez- Chaos:1
Ross- Deal N/D:1
Feldman- BSP:1
Kelly- BSP:1


For the first time I think all season, I didn't make any FAAB bids at all.  I did have one slot to fill with Dirks on the DL, but with Austin Jackson due back Tuesday, and not being interested in Matsui, I elected to pass.  There is still Manny and Oswalt on the FAAB horizon, after all.

I find Pryor a very interesting prospect -- likely a future closer -- but I didn't have an open slot for him.

$9 for LaPorta?  Really?  If ever there was a poster child for the Quad-A guy, he's it. 

RALLY SKWIRLS
Current overall position: 4th
Remaining FAAB $50